In the days before people discovered the world was round, maps often had sea serpents and other monsters on the edges of them to indicate to sailors that you should not sail too far or you would run into danger. it was truly a false warning because as time went on people sailed on and found there were not monsters at the edge of the map but rather the map really has no edge. Eventually, the serpents at the edge of the map proved to be paper only and lacked substance.
I feel that this is true of the Republican fear of a brokered convention. It is the fear of a paper serpent at the edge of a paper map and not a genuine reality like many fear. The fear that this could end the Republican party by splitting it in two is so much ink on the edge of map. A few historical facts.
- Until primaries were a regular thing nearly every convention was brokered convention. In fact, it was the point of the convention to actually pick the final candidate. It wasn’t until primaries were more common that this was not the case.
- Since there have been several brokered conventions on both sides and none of them have ended their respective parties.
- It has been a long time since a candidate who came out of a brokered convention won (Roosevelt 1932) but the last one was in the 1950s.
My point – we really don’t know what is going to happen. To make all these predictions is as nonsensical as telling ships not to sail to the edge of the map because it shows a drawn picture of a sea serpent.
One final word, this notion that simply because any candidate has the most delegates going into the convention should still be supported because it is the will of the people. The will of the people is usually defined as 51% or greater. If you go in with 45% of the people it still means 55% of the people do not want you, they want someone else. You need to win some of them over to get the will of the people. This is something some of the candidates in the GOP need to start to understand or they will not win. They might find themselves hold the plurality but not the majority. Perhaps a brokered convention will be a good thing in sorting this out,
Blessings and Cheers!!!